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Friday, August 10, 2012

Pac 12 North Preview- Oregon

Tuesday, I began previewing the Pac 12 North by evaluating the Cal Golden Bears. Today, I continue my North league preview by looking at the Oregon Ducks.


Fresh off another 12 win season and a Rose Bowl victory, the Oregon Ducks enter the 2012 campaign with high expectations despite losing their dynamic offensive duo of Lamichael James and Darren Thomas. Sophomore Quarterback Bryan Bennett will be given the keys to the Ducks high tempo offense and will look to build on the success he had last year in limited action.  Bennett threw for 369 yards and six touchdowns, while throwing zero interceptions last season.  He will be joined in the backfield by two of the fastest running backs in the county in De'Anthony Thomas and Kenjon Barner. Thomas and Barner ran for a combined 1534 yards and scored 18 touchdowns in the Ducks multiple backs offense.  Thomas was also the Ducks leading receiver last year with 46 catches for 605 yards and nine touchdowns.  Bennett will also have WR Josh Huff returning from last year's squad.  Huff had 430 receiving yards along with two touchdowns last season.  Look for Huff's role to increase in the offense this year now that he will be the Ducks #1 receiver along with the fact that Bennett will be able to throw the deep ball more consistently and accurately then Thomas did.  The best thing for a young quarterback to have is an experienced offensive line and Bennett will have that this year with three of the five linemen from last year's team returning.  This will not only help Bennett run the offense and have protection during passing downs, but it will also help take some of the load off of him in that the offensive line can carry out all of its protection schemes in a variety of situations and not rely on Bennett to help them adjust to different defensive schemes.  While I believe the Ducks offense won't be as explosive as it has been the past couple of years, I do expect them to continue putting points on the board through the use of their spread option ground game as well as through more down field passing.

The Ducks defense will need to continue to improve this year if they expect to contend for a national title after the loss of their top two offensive players.  With seven returning starters led by Senior's Dion Jordan and John Boyett, the Ducks defense will look to repeat last years takeaway performance, which saw them cause 29 total turnovers and accumulate 45 sacks as well.  The Ducks defense, however, gave up a lot of yards and had trouble stopping middle to upper tier teams that had good quarterbacks last year like Arizona(31 points), Arizona State(27 points), Washington St(28 points) and UCLA(31 points).  This could've been caused by the fact that the offense would score so quickly, that the defense wouldn't get much of a break and would have to go back out on the field shortly after coming off.  Another cause that could've attributed to this is the fact that the Ducks high octane offense would get them a 14 to 21 point lead, which would cause opposing teams to throw on almost every play in an attempt to quickly make up the deficit.  With the Ducks playing a prevent like defense to keep offenses in front of them to prevent big plays and keep the clock running, they were susceptible to giving up short to intermediate route's that picked up a good chunk of yardage.  Now that the offense is under the helm of a new quarterback, the defense will need to step up, since it won't have a safety net to bail them out if they have a bad game.  I believe the Ducks team defense will be better in 2012 than it was in 2011 and with the offense transitioning to a new quarterback, I expect the defense to add some wrinkles and play aggressive when they have the lead rather than sitting back and playing a vanilla prevent defense.

2012 Schedule Prediction 10-2 Overall    7-2 Conference    

Arkansas State             W       42-10
Fresno State                 W       35-20
Tennessee Tech             W       45-14
Arizona                         W       35-17
@Washington St.          W       49-21
Washington                  W        38-28
@Arizona State             W       42-17
Colorado                       W       49-10
@USC                          L        24-35
@California                    L        35-38  
Stanford                        W       28-7
@Oregon State              W       38-17



Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Pac 12 North Preview- California

With the NCAA season quickly approaching, I have taken it upon myself to preview every team from all the major BCS conferences for the upcoming season. To begin, I will preview the Pac 12, starting with teams from the North Division. First up is the California Golden Bears.


After an up and down 7-6 season that saw the Bears struggle against the top teams in the Pac 12, the Cal Golden Bears look to build off an offense that will be returning key starters at the skill positions this season. Senior QB Zach Maynard returns to lead the offense after throwing for 3000 yards and 17 touchdowns last season.  Maynard will be joined by running backs Isi Sofele and C.J. Anderson in the Bears backfield, who ran for a combined total of 1,667 yards and 18 touchdowns between the two of them last season.  Wide Receiver  Keenan Allen, Maynard's half brother, also returns after an impressive season that caught the attention of many NFL scouts.  Allen caught 98 passes for 1343 yards and six touchdowns last season.  Allen will need to repeat this type of production this season for the Bears to compete against the upper echelon of the Pac 12, since he is the only returning starter at wide out for the Bears. The Bears offensive line will also return three of the five starters from last years squad as well.  Maynard will need to cut down on his turnovers and increase his efficiency for the Bears to compete for a Pac 12 title.  With the major skill players returning and a year of experience under Maynard's belt, the Bears should be an offensive force in the Pac 12 this year.

The question for the Bears this season is "Will they be able to stop teams like USC and Oregon from scoring and create turnovers?" Last year, the Bears defense ranked #1 in yards allowed, #3 in total sacks and #5 in interceptions among the Pac 12 teams.  However, defensive stalwarts Mychal Kendricks and Trevor Guyton are now in the NFL and even with these play makers, the Bears allowed 43 points to Oregon, 31 to Washington and Stanford and 30 to USC.  The defense will need to improve against these types of foes if the Bears plan to compete for a Pac 12 championship this season.  The good news for the Bears though is that outside of USC, the rest of the Pac 12's potent offenses are rebuilding in some capacity  after losing key players on the offensive side of the ball. This, along with a favorable Pac 12 schedule, should help the Bears place in the top two in the North division standings. 

While many expect Oregon to be Cal's biggest threat to a Pac 12 North title, I believe Washington is the only team standing in the Bears way. With Stanford and Oregon losing their two biggest play makers on the offensive side of the ball(Stanford-Luck and Fleener, Oregon-Thomas and James) along with Oregon State and Washington State being a year or two away from competing at the top, Washington is the only threat in my eyes for Cal.  Cal will need to find a way to stop Huskies Quarterback Keith Price, who had a sensational year last year, but will need to do it again this year without Running Back Chris Polk and leading receivers Jermaine Kearse and Devin Aguilar. With the losses of these players along with the fact the game is in Berkley, I believe Cal will beat the Huskies and will ultimately represent the North Division in the Pac 12 title game despite two conference losses.

2012 Schedule Prediction 9-3 Overall 7-2 Conference

Nevada                    W   31-14
Southern Utah          W   42-10
@Ohio State             L   14-28
@USC                      L   24- 42
Arizona State            W  38-21
UCLA                       W  28-17
@Washington State   L   35-42 OT
Stanford                    W  28-21
Utah                         W  35-17
Washington               W  42-35
Oregon                     W   38-35
@Oregon State         W   42-14


Saturday, August 4, 2012

UFC on FOX 4

Tonight, the UFC will make its return to FOX in what should be a very entertaining main card. The action will start off with a Welterweight match up featuring Mike Swick vs DaMarques Johnson.  Swick will be making his first octagon appearance since February of 2010 after dealing with a multitude of injuries including a misdiagnosed stomach condition. Before his absence, Swick dropped his previous two fights including a Welterweight title eliminator against Dan Hardy. Swick likes to fight on the feet and is more of a technical striker than he is a powerful striker.

Johnson, an Ultimate Fighter runner up, will also enter this fight on a losing streak after being submitted by John Maguire in April in Sweden. Johnson has struggled to gain momentum during his time with the UFC and very well could receive his walking papers with a loss to Swick.  Like Swick, Johnson also likes to stand with his opponents, albeit sometimes this is to his disadvantage because of his aggressiveness. 

While Swick will almost certainly get another shot if he loses to Johnson, the same can not be said for Johnson. This sets up for an entertaining fight because both fighters like to stand and trade and both fighters are desperate to get back into the win column. 

Prediction: Despite his long layoff, I believe the quickness and technical striking of Swick will prevail in this match up resulting in a unanimous decision for Swick.


Next up is a Lightweight battle, which in my opinion will be the most exciting fight all night between Joe Lauzon and Jamie Varner. Lauzon is coming off a knockout loss to Anthony Pettis and is looking to rebound against a game opponent in Varner.  Lauzon is a submission specialist with six of his eight UFC fights ending via submission.  His stand up has also improved substantially over his past couple of fights compared to a few years ago.

Varner meanwhile is rolling into this fight on a three match winning streak including an impressive TKO win over Edzon Barboza that no one saw coming.  Varner, a former WEC Lightweight champion, has caught fire since being released from ZUFFA in December of 2010 winning 4 of his last 5 matches and he looks to continue the streak tonight. Varner loves to keep the fight on the feet and go for the knockout.  He has a history of being submitted by crafty submission artists like Ben Henderson and Hermes Franca, so he will need to be careful tonight against Lauzon.

Prediction: While Varner has been hot of late, Lauzon has faced much tougher competition and has fared fairly well.  I believe at some point Lauzon will get this fight to ground and submit Varner in the second round and will take home the submission of the night bonus.

In the Co-Main Event, Lyoto Machida will take on Ryan Bader in a bout that could determine the next #1 contender for the Light Heavyweight Championship. Machida has lost three of his last four bouts including his last fight against Jon Jones for the Light Heavyweight Championship.  In the beginning of his UFC career, Machida could hardly be touched by his opponents given his karate style that focuses on circling the cage while delivering quick, technical strikes.  Recently, however, opponents have started to bring the fight to Machida rather than try to counter attack him, which has allowed them to close the distance and deliver powerful strikes to him.  He will need to get back to his old formula of circling the cage and quick striking tonight to avoid being taken down by Bader.

Bader, an All American collegiate wrestler, will come in tonight on a two fight win streak after losing his previous two bouts.  Bader loves to take the fight to the ground, but also likes to stand and trade with opponents, especially in close distances, which helps him to change levels and take his opponents down.  If Bader is going to win tonight, he must be proactive rather than reactive against Machida and take the fight to him, so he can close the distance and attempt to take Machida down.

Prediction: This fight is a toss up in my opinion. While I believe Bader will get some shots in on Machida and possibly take him down a couple of times during the fight, I think Machida's speed and technical striking will be enough to earn him a split decision victory.

Now to the Main Event match up of Mauricio Rua vs Brandon Vera.  Like the Co Main Event, the winner of this fight could become the next #1 contender for the Light Heavyweight Title. Rua comes into this fight after losing to Dan Henderson in one of the greatest fights in UFC history. When healthy, Rua is a force to be reckoned with as we saw in his pride days as well as his UFC fights against Chuck Liddell and Lyoto Machida. When he's not, we see a fighter that some wonder how he made it to the UFC(see Forrest Griffin 1). Rua can and will trade with anybody in the Light Heavyweight Division. He has one punch knockout power as well as some amazing ground and pound to go along with his transitional ground game. He has fought some of the very best in the world and given what is on the line tonight, I expect him to come out with guns blazing.

Vera on the other hand is lucky to be in this position, let alone in the UFC. Vera was reinstated after being released by the UFC following his loss to Thiago Silva after post fight test showed Silva tested positive for a banned substance. Vera has made the most of his second chance by beating Eliot Marshall last October and now could possibly be one fight away from a title shot. Vera is a Muay Thai fighter that loves to clinch and deliver knees as well as some dirty boxing. The problem for Vera tonight is that Rua also loves to get in the clinch and deliver blows, so he will need to avoid Rua's clinch at all cost.

Prediction: While Vera is lengthy and can deliver some problems for Rua, I believe Rua is too skilled, talented and experienced for someone of Vera's caliber. I expect Rua to be very impressive and finish Vera in the second round, earning himself a rematch with Jon Jones.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

Super Bowl Preview

This year's Super Bowl between the New England Patriots and New York Giants has as much hype and backstory to it, as the previous meeting between these two teams in the Super Bowl. However, this time the majority of the advantages belong to the New York Giants unlike the first matchup. Below I will talk about the strengths of each team, how they compare against their foe and who will win.

New England Patriots Advantages- Everyone knows that New England's offense is a high octane machine. QB Tom Brady has been executing the New England offense to perfection the past few years and this year is no different. His pinpoint accuracy and decision making is a pivotal reason why the Patriots are in this position today. TE's Rob Grownkowski and Aaron Hernandez have been spectacular all season long. They have great hands, run crisp routes and are a matchup nightmare for defenses with their versatility. WR Wes Welker is also a matchup problem for defenses because of his speed, precision and hands. It will be interesting to see how the Giants D will play against these three playmakers.

New York Giants Advantages- The Giants also have a great offense. Sporting three great wide receivers in Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham, they have the ability to spread defenses out and pick them apart. To go along with this the improved decision making by Eli Manning has been pivotal in their run to the Super Bowl this year. The Giants also have a powerful ground attack with RB's Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs, which helps keep defenses off balance.

The most interesting matchup will be how the Patriots offensive line will match up against the Giants defensive line. If they have trouble stopping the Giants pass rush, it could be a very long day with the weapons the Giants have. Another interesting matchup will be what the Giants do defensively with regard to Grownkowski. I believe they should double team him with LB Michael Boley and S Antrel Rolle. This would free up Hernandez one on one, but I would rather have him in one on one coverage than Gronk.

Prediction- I believe the Giants offense will pick the Patriots defense apart and while the Patriots will have some scoring drives, I don't think they will be able to score enough to make up for it. The Giants may also grind it out and create long scoring drives in order to keep Brady on the sidelines. The Giants can win this game in more ways than one compared to Patriots who need to outscore the Giants to make up for their soft defense.

Giants 31 Patriots-21
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